Statistical Calibrations with the Shortened MLB Season

Author: Mansi


From fans to league members to players — everyone is calibrating the statistics that are planned to come up with a 60-game MLB season. A 60-game MLB season will definitely affect the stats considerably.

MLB 2020 Shortened Season.

As we are moving towards the MLB season 2020 Opening Date — for everyone, it is hard to believe that it is actually happening. In fact, it feels this will take some more time to sink in the fact that we are almost closing to start the season. The long-standing negotiations going between the MLB & the players’ association had taken away the faith of people about the game happening.

And, when the Opening Date is almost close with almost 100 games chopped off from the season, people are making speculations about the statistics associated with. Without any doubt, the stakes are going to be raised and every single game is going to carry more weight than ever before. And, it is also true - that every single strikeout, every hit, and every single run batted in — will add more value to the game than ever before.

Statistical Calibrations with the Shortened MLB Season.

Diving a little deeper into the stats, it makes out how different the campaign is going to look like during this shortened MLB season 2020. A little closer look into the statistical calibration of this shortened season of MLB, it’s speculated there will be 15 homers and 40 RBI could be MVP numbers this season, which is a ridiculous number.

Some other parts of the Calibration:

20 HR would mean a 50+ homer pace as in the regular season: In the last three seasons, for the first 60-games, only four of the total players have hit 20 HRs.

  1. Aaron Judge (21) in 2017
  2. Pete Alonso (20) in 2019
  3. Christian Yelich (22) in 2019
  4. Cody Bellinger (20) in 2019

37 RBI would mean a 100-RBI pace: Miguel Cabrera (67) was the last player to have averaged over an RBI per game through a 6-game in 2013.

74 hits mean a 200-hit pace: Last-year only Whit Merrifield and Rafael Devers were the players who reached 200 hits. However, from 2017-2019 around 22 players have had at least 74 hits.

Seven wins mean 18 wins and 20 wins for the regular season: During the shortened MLB season, seven wins is going to be a major accomplishment. But, if in case, 111 strikeouts does not work for you 300 Ks and 74 innings pitched would mean 200 IP.

A 1.9 WAR would mean a 5.0 WAR: When it comes to the season’s end, it is going to be pretty interesting to consider how much of the WAR is considered.

The speculations & calibrations obviously do not look great. Reaching 200 hits or a hitter posting 30 & 100 is going to be clearer. At the end of the day, the shortened MLB season will look quite different, and there are going to be many reasons. And, since there is an assortment of circumstances hovering around the seasons and therefore, it is obvious there is no way out, but to accept the anomalies.

 


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